Hayward workers destroy 'Holy Grail' for earthquake scientists -- without even knowing it
Post date: Jul 7, 2016 7:39:55 PM
Hayward workers destroy 'Holy Grail' for earthquake scientists -- without even knowing it
By Rong-Gong Lin II, Los Angeles Times
POSTED: 07/06/2016 08:29:45 PM PDT | UPDATED: ABOUT 5 HOURS AGO
Curb That Showed Movement Of Hayward Fault 'Fixed' By City
CBS San Francisco
HAYWARD -- For nearly half a century, thousands trekked to Rose and Prospect streets to behold a slice of sidewalk that, by conventional standards, had no curb appeal.
Pulled apart so that it no longer aligned, the humble curb wasn't much to look at. But for earthquake scientists, it was a kind of Holy Grail, perfectly illustrating the seismic forces at work underneath this San Francisco Bay Area neighborhood.Since at least the 1970s, scientists have painstakingly photographed the curb as the Hayward fault pushed it farther and farther out of alignment.It was a sharp reminder that someday, a magnitude 7 earthquake would strike directly beneath one of the most heavily populated areas in Northern California.
This May 28, 2012, photo provided by Andrew Alden shows an offset of a faulty curb that illustrated the seismic forces at work underneath a Hayward neighborhood. The curb was fixed last month, stunning scientists, who say the curbside laboratory used for studying earthquakes was destroyed. (Andrew Alden/oaklandgeology.wordpress.com via AP)
"It's sad. It was a real letdown," said Alden, whose tweet and blog post about the intersection was picked up by Canadian media. "It's really unusual to have such a clean piece of evidence right here."
But Hayward officials said they had no idea this curb had such sacred significance for geologists.
"We weren't aware of it," said Kelly McAdoo, assistant city manager. She said the curb was replaced to install a wheelchair-accessible ramp at that intersection, one of about 150 to 170 such ramps that are installed every year at a cost of $3,000 each.
"Our mandate from our council is that we have safe sidewalks and accessible sidewalks for all members of our community," she said, adding that the city might have acted differently had it known about the curb's geological significance.
"We probably would have looked at it differently, or we would have tried to help them document it," McAdoo said, adding that if scientists want to share information with the city about sites used to monitor seismic activity, "we'd be happy to talk with them" to see whether there's a way to alert city crews about their geologic significance.
But she said the city has a responsibility to "maintain safe streets and roads. When you've got a curb that's offset, we probably would eventually want to fix it and see if there's some other way to monitor seismic safety over time."
The Los Angeles Times sent McAdoo a link to photos showing the curb offset growing since the 1970s, and she said the initial reaction among some employees was, "Look at how offset the curb is. We need to fix that."
The curb was once straight, running perpendicular to the Hayward fault, which runs in a north-south direction. But over the years, the eastern half of the curb got pulled north, while the other side got pulled south.
The intersection has long been watched with reverence.
A website called geologyfieldtrips.com features scanned photos showing the same curb in 1971 -- already displaying the telltale signs of being pulled apart. By 1987, the curb was completely offset, courtesy of a fault that geologists say is one of the Bay Area's most worrisome.
The Hayward fault courses right underneath Berkeley, Oakland, Hayward and Fremont and produces a large earthquake, on average, every 160 years, with a margin of error of about 80 years. It has been 148 years since the Hayward fault last ruptured, unleashing a huge earthquake.
"We're kind of in the range where something could happen at any time," Schwartz said.
On its website, the USGS calls the Hayward fault the region's "tectonic time bomb," which could "cause hundreds of deaths, leave thousands homeless and devastate the region's economy."
On top of the Hayward fault, Schwartz said, sits "2 million people who directly live on top of it. It sits geographically in the center of the Bay Area. There's a tremendous amount of infrastructure built up on it -- water systems, gas, electrical, BART crosses it -- so a large event on that fault is like hitting the bull's-eye on a target."
Famously, the Hayward fault's ongoing movement forced Hayward to shutter its historic city hall, which remains standing and is slowly being torn up by the fault's movement.
Schwartz said he would've liked it if Hayward had kept the offset curb there, "as a visual reminder to people about the Hayward fault."
But he said no matter how pristine the famous curb looked after the city fixed it, the Hayward fault will make sure it doesn't stay that way.
"The fault," Schwartz said, "will have its revenge."
The curb at Rose and Prospect, October 2014.
Then, one early June day, a city crew decided to fix the faulty curb -- pun intended. By doing what cities are supposed to do -- fixing streets -- the city's action stunned scientists, who said a wonderful curbside laboratory for studying earthquakes was destroyed."They really took it out. Wow," David Schwartz, a U.S. Geological Survey geologist, said when he clicked on a photo of the curb's destruction. "It really was an iconic location on the Hayward fault."Andrew Alden, an Oakland science writer, was among the first to document the curb's destruction.He was invited by the U.S. Geological Survey to come to that intersection on the last Friday of June, as a scientist hoped to give emergency preparedness officials a chance "to see what a real fault looks like."Advertisement